Wednesday open thread

Posted by: ST on October 22, 2008 at 9:04 am

Yet another busy morning ahead – sorry, the rest of this week will probably be the same. The 8-5 is fortunate to have work, considering this economy, so I’m not complaining a bit. I’ll catch up later this afternoon or tonight.

Here are a few poll-related links for your perusal:

—- Michael Barone: Are the Polls Accurate?

—- McCain Outperforming Bush in Ohio Bellwethers?

—- AOL’s Political Machine blog: A closer look at state polling, and information from an internal pollster from Obama, stating that their numbers only show him up by 2 in PA.

—- Politico: McCain pulls even with Obama in Nevada.

Take all that info with a grain of salt … but it does provide a glimmer of hope in what has otherwise appeared on the surface as a bad last three weeks for Mc.

Back later.

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2 Responses to “Wednesday open thread”


  1. Rich Horton says:

    The question is, if news organizations can be “in the bag” and biased in favor of one candidate, why shouldn’t that extend to the “polling” being commissioned by the very same media? There are many different ways polling can be shaded. You could riddle it with “priming” problems meant to hurt one of the candidates being asked about. You could “weight” the populations in a misleading fashion. There are a good half dozen other things one could do to get the results one wants.

    “Ah!” the objection is raised, “but then the polling outfits would loose credibility?”

    But “credibility” with whom? For starters the media outlets who want the bad polling are not going to expose it. Secondly, the issues involved in statistical sampling are difficult to explain to large segments of the population – if they cant “get” margin of error terms, how are they going to “get” weighted samples? Third, it isn’t as if polling outfits are selling material to the public at large. Their client base is ONLY the self-same biased media. So they have nothing to lose on that front either.

    Much of the polling has been suspect, and was even during the Democratic primary. The fact that major polling services have “new” models that just so happen to show Obama with a huge lead compared to the older models which show a much closer contest, is being sold as merely “happenstance.”

    I for one am not retarded enough to believe it.

  2. 2Hotel9 says:

    Sis, the only poll that matters happens in November.