What if Iran already has nukes hidden in North Korea?

Posted by: Phineas on March 31, 2015 at 2:02 pm

**Posted by Phineas

nuclear-explosion

That’s the not so subtle implication of Gordon Chang’s article in The Daily Beast. Much of the article explores the illicit nuclear proliferation network (parts confirmed, others suspected) between Iran, China, North Korea, and (formerly?) Pakistan, dating back nearly fifteen years. But the key portions follow:

In October 2012, Iran began stationing personnel at a military base in North Korea, in a mountainous area close to the Chinese border. The Iranians, from the Ministry of Defense and associated firms, reportedly are working on both missiles and nuclear weapons. Ahmed Vahidi, Tehran’s minister of defense at the time, denied sending people to the North, but the unconfirmed dispatches make sense in light of the two states announcing a technical cooperation pact the preceding month.

(…)

The North Koreans have also sold Iran material for bomb cores, perhaps even weapons-grade uranium. The Telegraph reported that in 2002 a barrel of North Korean uranium cracked open and contaminated the tarmac of the new Tehran airport.

(…)

The relationship between the two regimes has been long-lasting. Hundreds of North Koreans have worked at about 10 nuclear and missile facilities in Iran. There were so many nuclear and missile scientists, specialists, and technicians that they took over their own coastal resort there, according to Henry Sokolski,  the proliferation maven, writing in 2003.

Even if Iran today were to agree to adhere to the Additional Protocol, it could still continue developing its bomb in North Korea, conducting research there or buying North Korean technology and plans. And as North Korean centrifuges spin in both known and hidden locations, the Kim regime will have a bigger stock of uranium to sell to the Iranians for their warheads. With the removal of sanctions, as the P5+1 is contemplating, Iran will have the cash to accelerate the building of its nuclear arsenal.

So while the international community inspects Iranian facilities pursuant to a framework deal, the Iranians could be busy assembling the components for a bomb elsewhere. In other words, they will be one day away from a bomb—the flight time from Pyongyang to Tehran—not one year as American and other policymakers hope.

(Emphasis added)

Think about it. Pretend for a minute you’re one of the Muslim fanatics who rule Iran. Maybe you’re part of the faction that sees it as its duty to bring about the Islamic “end times.” You definitely want to crush the Jews and destroy Israel. You hate America as the Great Satan and see Iran’s Islamic Revolution as the one hope for truly making Allah’s religion supreme. To protect the revolution and fulfill Allah’s goals, you’ve decided Iran needs nuclear weapons.

But the Great and Little Satans (America and Israel) stand in your way. They don’t want you to have these weapons. They are infidels and enemies of Allah. So, to buy yourself the time to make them, you enter into negotiations — not to give anything away, but merely to delay. And, so far, it’s worked. The infidels are weak and anxious for an agreement, so they keep playing along, no matter how outrageous your demands.

And yet there are risks. What if the Zionist Entity (Israel) loses patience and attacks? That might set back your program. What if a new president takes charge in America, one who isn’t afraid to use his nation’s awesome resources to weaken your regime by supporting the opposition, as Reagan did with Poland, or through the direct use of armed force, as they did to Saddam? That could wreck your nuclear dreams, if not overthrow you altogether. How do you guard against that?

Well, like any well-run operation, you have a disaster back up plan. In this case, an offsite nuclear program, parallel to the one in Iran. One so offsite that  it is in another country, an allied nation with a nuclear program of its own and that hates America, too, and is obsessed with security.

A place like North Korea.

This is all speculative, of course, but it is also plausible. It’s what any reasonable person would consider doing in a similar situation. And, while the mullahs are aggressive antisemitic religious fascists, they are not stupid.

Keep your eye out: Iran has been playing hardball in the negotiations, demanding so much that even Obama and Kerry must have been tempted at times to walk out. The deadline for an agreement is coming up: If Iran suddenly and to everyone’s relief makes major concessions, I think the North Korean backup scenario goes from “likely” to “almost certain.”

Sleep well.

(Crossposted at Public Secrets)

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4 Responses to “What if Iran already has nukes hidden in North Korea?”

Comments

  1. Steve says:

    Fox News gives Mike Pence a chance to respond to ‘liberal bullies’ – Video

    http://commoncts.blogspot.com/2015/03/fox-news-gives-mike-pence-chance-to.html

  2. Drew the Infidel says:

    One thing being overlooked regarding Iran’s promise toward a nuclear weapon is the fact they have not conducted any sort of nuclear test, a critical preliminary step toward weapons development. North Korea as a storage site or a strategic base is a shaky proposition at best given the absence of a reliable power grid there.

    The last time the North Koreans tried exporting their “expertise” on nuclear weapons was in Syria and Israel erased that with an aerial assault.

  3. JimBeck says:

    All Iran is doing is playing all concerned at the talks like fools. They have been in pretend talks while they ‘spin’ their way to enough weapon grade material to make their bomb. Their main base is so far underground as to make it half way to the core. Already NOT letting the U.N. inspectors in to see what they are doing. Their theocratic government says they can lie to the unbelievers to get what and where they want. Let them have the bomb ( that’s what is happening ) and you will see a trip-wire web of bombs throughout the middle east. Will that make the world safer?

  4. Carlos says:

    Seems to me that, with a U.S. administration bent on creating a monster that will destroy not only us but Israel, the only question isn’t when Iran will “get the bomb,” but when they can manage to make it small enough to be carried by hand across the desert from Mexico into the U.S., to be detonated at will at any chosen site.

    Anyone can make a bomb the size that was used on Hiroshima; the question is, can they make one small enough to carry?