#BostonBombing: Did the Saudis warn us ahead of time in writing? UPDATE: Saudi denial?

Posted by: Phineas on May 1, 2013 at 1:01 pm

**Posted by Phineas

UPDATE: I’m sticking this at the top because the story’s important enough to warrant it.  Now we have a “Saudi official” saying there was a letter, and their embassy in Washington saying no, there wasn’t. So, who’s lying, and why? (via Toby Harnden)

The Saudi embassy in Washington, D.C. today denied its government warned the U.S. about accused Boston bomber Tamerlan Tsarnaev.

According to a highly placed source who spoke to MailOnline, the Saudis sent a written warning about Tsarnaev to the U.S. Department of Homeland Security in 2012. That was long before pressure-cooker blasts killed three and injured hundreds.

The official told MailOnline about a written warning from the Saudi government to the Department of Homeland Security, and said he had direct knowledge of that document.

But the Middle Eastern nation’s embassy in Washington denied that account on Wednesday.

It issued a statement which read: ‘The Saudi government had no prior information about the Boston bombers. Therefore, it is not true that any information, written or otherwise, was passed to the U.S. Department of Homeland Security (DHS) or any other US agency in this regard,’ an embassy statement statement claimed.

‘The Saudi government also does not have any record of any application by Tamerlan Tsarnaev for any visa to Saudi Arabia.’

Original article follows.

If this is true, our intelligence services and the White House have a boatload of explaining to do:

The Kingdom of Saudi Arabia sent a written warning about accused Boston Marathon bomber Tamerlan Tsarnaev to the U.S. Department of Homeland Security in 2012, long before pressure-cooker blasts killed three and injured hundreds, according to a senior Saudi government official with direct knowledge of the document.

The Saudi warning, the official told MailOnline, was separate from the multiple red flags raised by Russian intelligence in 2011, and was based on human intelligence developed independently in Yemen.

Citing security concerns, the Saudi government also denied an entry visa to the elder Tsarnaev brother in December 2011, when he hoped to make a pilgrimage to Mecca, the source said. Tsarnaev’s plans to visit Saudi Arabia have not been previously disclosed.

The Saudis’ warning to the U.S. government was also shared with the British government. ‘It was very specific’ and warned that ‘something was going to happen in a major U.S. city,’ the Saudi official said during an extensive interview.

It ‘did name Tamerlan specifically,’ he added. The ‘government-to-government’ letter, which he said was sent to the Department of Homeland Security at the highest level, did not name Boston or suggest a date for his planned attack.

If true, the account will produce added pressure on the Homeland Security department and the White House to explain their collective inaction after similar warnings were offered about Tsarnaev by the Russian government.

DHS pretty much denies the whole thing, but the article reports two meetings between high-ranking Saudi and US officials: the first between Obama and the Saudi Interior Minister in January, while the second was an unscheduled meeting between Obama and the Saudi Foreign Minister two days after the marathon bombing. One almost gets the impression of Saudi officials pleading “Look do we have to draw you guys a picture? We’ve been telling you to look out for this crazy Chechen!”

But… let’s not jump the gun, here. This story comes from a single Saudi source, and there are reasons both to believe and not believe it.

In favor: While not best friends, the Saudis have been a close ally against jihad terrorism, having experienced it themselves and given that al Qaeda has declared open season on the government. They’ve also provided reliable information in the past: the article mentions the “printer cartridge plot” and Richard Reid, the “shoe-bomber” as examples. And while the Yemen connection seems out of left field, it has come up in connection with the Tsarnaevs before (h/t Hot Air), and the Saudis are deeply involved in Yemen. Warning us, besides being the decent thing to do, would also be in the Kingdom’s best interests to curry favor with D.C.

On the other hand: The Saudi government may not be a state sponsor of terrorism against the West, but it provides support to Salafi and jihad groups around the world, prominent wealthy Saudis donate directly to jihad groups, and high-ranking religious figures in the Kingdom urge their young men (of whom they have way too many to gainfully employ) to go wage jihad against the infidel. (1) It’s a open dirty secret of this modern age. And so it could be very tempting for the Saudis to claim “We tried to tell you,” hoping to earn some credit from the many Americans upset with the Obama administration and divert attention (again) from their own involvement with jihad.

For now, I lean toward this being true, at least to some degree: the Saudis may have warned us, but perhaps the information wasn’t nearly as cut and dried as they make it out to be. And I find it hard to imagine they’d claim “We told the British, too,” knowing the UK could falsify their claim at the drop of a hat. On top of that, it looks like we may have been making some of the same kind of mistakes we made before 9/11 with overly compartmentalized information that isn’t shared in a timely manner with all concerned parties. Shades of the “Gorelick Wall.”

And if this is true, even to a limited degree, it looks like another example of fatally stupid incompetence on the part of an administration that just wishes terrorism would go away.

Newsflash: It won’t.

Footnote:
(1)You might recall there were regular reports of young Saudi men being urged to go fight us in Iraq. Basically, they’re happy to send these nuts anywhere to get killed, as long as they’re out of Saudi Arabia.

(Crossposted at Public Secrets)

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5 Responses to “#BostonBombing: Did the Saudis warn us ahead of time in writing? UPDATE: Saudi denial?”

Comments

  1. Tex says:

    You know it’s bad when even the Wahabis in Saudia Arabia think your too extreme for them. That should have been a big wake-up call for whoever received this information.

    No doubt the Obama administration fumbled badly here since Obama has directed Homeland Security to focus most of it’s resources on watching Tea Party members, military veterans, gun right’s advocates, and conservatives in general.

  2. Carlos says:

    Just like the “Department of Peace” is a misnomer for a “Department of War,” “Homeland Security” is a misnomer for “Incompetent Political Appointees Obsessed With Being Politically Correct and Chasing Christians.”

    Everyone in the IPAOWBPCCC should be given a summary judgment and disposed of post haste. They are not only criminally incompetent, they are very likely criminally negligent in the simplest of assigned duties.

    Unless, of course, their real raison d’etre is to gather info on all potential threats to this administration’s takeover of the country and to stockpile ammunition for such a takeover.

  3. Without a doubt, Clapper, Brennan, Napolitano, and CJCS Dempsey, the top four in our security apparatus, are the dullest individuals ever to draw a breath. In any intel report originating with a foreign source, the chain can only be as strong as its weakest link; there are four to choose from.

    There is a history involving the concept of cross-channel communication between intel branches dating back to the Intelligence Act of 1947 when HST demanded our newly-formed CIA bear no resemblance to the Gestapo. Recommendations were made again by the Hoover Commission of 1955, some of which showed up again, but were not credited as such, in the 9/11 report. We evidently have learned nothing in all that time.

  4. Correction: Should read “National Security Act of 1947″.

  5. Carlos says:

    We evidently have learned nothing in all that time.

    No, but apparently revising history involves a lot of “forgetting.” And our “leaders” are excellent at both revising history to fit their ideology and “forgetting” past lessons learned from the blood of patriots.

    Not that the blood of citizens makes any difference to either JanNap or Dear Leader.