Polls going into Super Tuesday

Posted by: ST on February 3, 2008 at 11:23 am

It’s become a horse race in California for the top two candidates in each party – via Reuters:

WASHINGTON (Reuters) – Democrats Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton are running neck-and-neck in California, New Jersey and Missouri two days before the sprawling "Super Tuesday" presidential showdown, according to a Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby poll released on Sunday.

Obama has a slight lead in California and is virtually tied with Clinton in New Jersey and Missouri heading into the biggest day of voting in a U.S. presidential nominating campaign, with contests in 24 states from coast to coast.

"It looks like we have some serious horse races going on with Clinton and Obama," said pollster John Zogby said. "However it turns out, we can be pretty sure it is too close to be resolved on Tuesday."

Obama, an Illinois senator who would be the first black U.S. president, has a comfortable 20-point lead in Georgia fueled by a more than 3-to-1 advantage over Clinton among black voters.

In the Republican race, Arizona Sen. John McCain has double-digit leads on Mitt Romney in New York, New Jersey and Missouri but narrowly trails the former Massachusetts governor in California, the biggest prize on "Super Tuesday."

Romney leads McCain by 37 percent to 34 percent in California. The poll’s margin of error is 2.9 percentage points.

"California could be Romney’s last stand," Zogby said. "If he wins there, it may not be a whole new ballgame, but it can give those Republicans who oppose McCain hope they still have a chance to stop him."

But yet another poll released shows Romney behind McCain in CA:

Arizona Sen. John McCain lengthened his lead in the state Republican primary, grabbing a 32 to 24 percent edge among likely voters over former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney. Former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee was at 13 percent and Texas Rep. Ron Paul at 10 percent.

As we all know, there’s been a lot of discussion about McCain in the blogosphere, as conservatives talk about whether or not they would support McCain for president, and furthermore whether all this will lead to the demise of the GOP.  Karl Rove writes in Newsweek that the GOP is not cracking up, and will survive.

What do you think?

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7 Responses to “Polls going into Super Tuesday”


  1. Jeanette says:

    I plan to vote for the Republican in the general election, whomever it is because either of the top two would be better for the country than Hillary or Barack.

    We can’t have everything we want in a candidate and sometimes we have to maybe hold our noses and vote, but I’ll do that if necessary. This election is too important for Republicans to not vote because they don’t like the candidate. No vote is a vote for Hillary or Obama.

  2. No matter what, I am voting GOP. A tepid RINO is preferable to ANY $^#%@$(*&&%% Democrat.

    PS: Big Blue by 2. Scores in the 30’s.

  3. Proof says:

    With our expectations of McCain, any surprises should be pleasant! With our expectations of the Democrats, any surprises would be the opposite!

  4. Lorica says:

    I have resigned myself to vote for McCain this time, except if he chooses Huckabee as his Veep. Then I will conclude that the two of them schemed against Romney, and I figure if they had to go to those lengths, then the Rep party is damned already. – Lorica

  5. AndyB says:

    If John McCain gets the republican nomination no longer will liberty, rugged individualism, and smaller, less intrusive government be the glue that holds the parties factions together.

    At the core of conservatism is “Liberty.” Freedom from unjust or undue governmental control.

    Liberty isn’t defined as winning the war on terror so that President McCain can then impose draconian measures to fight some Phantom Climate Goddess.(SEE: McCain/Lieberman) Our military is fighting so that we can have liberty. Not so we can have government. We don’t need to fight in order to have government. We need to fight in order to have the government we want.

    And if we detach conservatism from the republican party, like I’m afraid McCain will do. What will be the firewall against tyranny? Surely not liberalism in it’s current state. In fact, if left to it’s own devises, liberalism will usher in tyranny.

    Under the wrong leadership, a McCain leadership, the republican party will be a RINO party not a conservative party. And without conservatism as a guiding principle why not just have a one party system?

  6. Leslie says:

    Andy, I don’t agree with you about McCain, but I love the way you write.

    Anybody who can come up with “Phantom Climate Goddess” has my respect.