US Senate – NV watch: Rothenberg changes race to “Lean Takeover for the GOP”

Since Chris Dodd announced he was exiting the Senate stage left after this year, Harry Reid has slithered to the top of the list of most vulnerable incumbent Democrat Senators this year. New polling from The Rothenberg Report shows more troubling numbers for the Majority “Leader”:

New polling confirms that Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D) is mired near 40% in general election ballot tests against all potential opponents, even those voters know nothing about. It will be extremely difficult for him to pull out a win, as Sens. Rick Santorum (R-PA) and John Sununu (R-NH), and more recently New Jersey Gov. Jon Corzine (D), found out.

Reid’s most recent controversial comments don’t help because they keep the story focused on him, rather than on his opponents. Given Reid’s current standing with voters, he should be viewed as a slight underdog for reelection, which is why we are moving this race from Toss-up to Lean Takeover for the GOP.

Their polling also shows Coakley ahead of Brown in what they call a ” statistically significant lead” – but they believe the final numbers will be close enough to cause the Democrats some sleepless nights in the months ahead. On the other hand, Rasmussen’s latest polling in the MA Senate race shows Brown closing in to within the MOE (he gets 47% to Coakley’s 49%).

Lastly, add another Senate race to your “one to watch” list. One that not many are talking about but could be a possible GOP pick-up is the Delaware Senate race between former Delaware Governor and current US House Congressman Mike Castle (who has already declared) against Delaware AG and son-of-the-VP Beau Biden (who hasn’t declared he will run but who is expected to). Polls taken late last year for that potential match-up have given Castle the edge. Don’t get overly excited about Castle, though. He’s considered a “moderate” Republican in the House, and has the ACU rating to prove it. Delaware is blue state, after all. Still, it would be nice to have the seat formerly held by Joooooooe Biden as a feather in our collective caps. Not only that, but the MSM would poop in their pants in reporting on the loss of this seat – esp. if it came in conjuction with several other House and Senate Dem losses in November.

Comments are closed.