Lieberman/Lamont and McKinney/Johnson predictions (LIVEBLOGGING – LIEBERMAN CONCEDES, WILL RUN AS INDEP.)

(Scroll to the bottom for frequent updates)

The polls close in CT at 8 Eastern time tonight in the Lieberman/Lamont primary. Polls close at 7 Eastern time in Georgia in the McKinney/Johnson run off.

Who will win? Post your predictions in the comments section.

NBC30.com will be posting the results of the CT primary on their site as they come in.

11Alive.com in Atlanta will be monitoring runoff results in Georgia.

On the blogging end, Allah will be on top of the races and updating, and I’ll try to as well – time permitting.

Update 7:05 PM: Here’s a better link (click on the link for US House District 4) for checking results in this Georgia runoff. The polls just closed five minutes ago so stay tuned for results to come rolling in. Looks like that link automatically refreshes every few seconds. If you have a problem with that link, try this one and click on the link for US House District 4.

Update 7:49 PM: Here’s another alternate link for the McKinney/Johnson runoff. Results are coming in from other races in the area, but none on this Mc/J. Yet.

Update 7:54 PM: McKinney staffer has minor altercation with an 11Alive photographer. (Hat tip: Allah)

Update 7:56 PM: Results starting to roll in in Mc/J race (scroll).

Update 8:01: Several Georgia news outlets reported today that voter turnout was expected to be low. The ‘hot spot’ in Georgia was/is expected to be, of course, Dekalb County:

McKinney’s runoff was the hottest race in Georgia by far Tuesday. The state’s highest voter turnout was expected to be in McKinney’s district, just east of Atlanta. Early voting numbers showed that her district accounted for more than one out of every eight voters who cast ballots last week, according to the Secretary of State’s Office, which oversees state elections.

Of the roughly 30,000 early voters, 3,997 were in McKinney’s district, which includes most of DeKalb County, about half of Rockdale County and a small section of Gwinnett County.

DeKalb County was the only “hot spot” in runoff elections held in Georgia, with “light to moderate” voter turnout elsewhere as of late Tuesday morning, said Ashley Holt, spokeswoman for the Secretary of State’s office.

Update 8:06 PM: I would stick with this link for updates. The WMAZ link is still showing no results in the Mc/J race, whereas this one is showing them coming in.

Update 8:15 PM: Z’ polls are closed in CT.

Update 8:18: Link for up to the minute poll results from CT. You may have to do an manual refresh on that one.

Update 8:21 PM: Better link for updated poll results from CT. They are already rolling in. Manual refresh on that one too, I think. Lamont leading with one percent reporting.

Update 8:24 PM: This link for the GA runoff seems to be updating now and it auto-refreshes every few seconds. Johnson’s in the lead with just a few hundred votes reported.

Update 8:26 PM: With 2% precincts reporting, Lamont is in the lead by 600 votes. I bet the Lamonties are giggling with glee. Hopefully not for long.

Update 8:28 PM: Time for a powder room break :D

Update 8:32 PM: Via the WFSB (manual refresh) link – 3% reporting, Lamont is up by 1300 votes.

Update 8:34 PM: With 8% of precincts reporting, Johnson still leads McKinney.

Update 8:38 PM: Lamont’s lead is widening: 6,814 votes to 4,586. Still early, though.

Update 8:41 PM: W/ 10% of precincts reporting, Johnson leads McKinney 1959 – 645. So far so good.

Update 8:44 PM: Lamont 12,236 – Lieberman 9,535 with 7% precincts reporting. Anyone know how many precincts CT has?

Update 8:47 PM: Question answered – CT has 748 precincts. Drudge is updating on this as well (thanks to ST reader Karl, who is doing his own primary/runoff liveblogging).

Update 8:51 PM: I should note that Chip, Jr. is doing a fine job of keeping up with me tonight ;)

Update 8:54 PM: Lamont 19,257 – Lieberman 14,870/ 11 % reporting.

Update 8:57 PM: In GA, it’s Johnson 2,126 – McKinney 745/ 12 % reporting.

Update 9:02 PM: Lamont 29,463 – Lieberman 22,898 / 17% reporting. Is it over for Joe? A discussion about whether or not Joe should run as an Independent should he lose tonight is ongoing in the comments section.

Update 9:06: Johnson over McKinney 2,505-892/ 1 % reporting.

Update 9:08 PM: Via Drudge, it’s Lamont 35,942 – Lieberman 28,227 with 21% reporting. Eep.

Update 9:12 PM: Strange that election results are coming in faster from the polls that closed at 8 (L/L) than the one that closed at 7 (Mc/J).

Update 9:14 PM: Again via Drudge, Lamont 40,934 – Lieberman 33,375/ 25% reporting.

Update 9:21 PM: Via the Hartford Courant (thanks to ST reader Mwalimu Daudi for the link): Lamont 55,294 – Lieberman 46,941/ 34% reporting. Keep refreshing that link. It seems to be the most current.

Update 9:23 PM: Lamont 61,449 – Lieberman 53,159/ 38% reporting.

Update 9:26 PM: Pathetic! What is going on in GA that they are so slow with runoff results?

Update 9:28 PM: 64,383 for Lamont, 56,891 for Lieberman/ 44% reporting.

Update 9:31 PM: Finally a GA update: Johnson 2,541 – McKinney 906/ 13% reporting. They must be doing everything by hand down there. Can you say “hanging chad”? :p

Update 9:33 PM: Joe’s cutting into the percentage lead, but only a little bit. Lamont 70,444 – Lieberman 64,700 / 50% reporting. 52.13% to 47.87%.

Update 9:37 PM: A tiny bit more percentage lead cutting by Joe. Lamont 74,396 – Lieberman 68,718 / 54% reporting. 51.98% to 48.02%.

Update 9:41 PM: ST reader and Iowa Voice blogger Brian writes re: the GA runoff:

Georgia was just as slow last time out. When I blogged it, I was up until 3 am waiting for the final results! Apparently, they don’t rush things down south. =D

Heh. Yeah – elections officials tehre probably stopped for a break and are having a mint julep or sipping lemonade on the front porch ;)

Update 9:45 PM: GA results so far: Johnson 3,384 – McKinney 1,876/ 16% reporting.

Update 9:48 PM: Lamont 89,814 – Lieberman 84,231/ 64% reporting. 51.60% – 48.40.

Update 9:51 PM: More from GA: Johnson 5,996 – McKinney 2,607/ 20% reporting.

Update 9:52 PM: Nearing the 75% precincts reporting mark for L/L. Lamont 100,425 – Lieberman 94,148/ 72% reporting. 51.61% – 48.39%.

Update 10:00 PM: Lamont 103,145 – Liberman 96,235/ 74% reporting. 51.73% – 48.27.

Update 10:01 PM: Chip, Jr. is still going strong :D

Update 10:02 PM: GA: Johnson 11,255 – McKinney 7,062/ 35% reporting.

Update 10:04 PM: Lamont 109,239 – Lieberman 101,818/ 77% reporting. 51.76% – 48.24%.

Update 10:07 PM: Lamont 114,165 – Lieberman 106,428/ 80% reporting. 51.75% – 48.25%. Ok, now I’m getting nervous.

Update 10:14 PM: Check in with NRO’s Sixers blog for updates on other races around the country (scroll).

Update 10:15 PM: Drudge is calling the primary for Lamont. The nutroots will blast into orbit with glee when/if it’s officially declared. I’m hoping Joe runs as an Independent. GO JOE.

Update 10:19 PM: Lamont 119,100 – Lieberman 110,686/ 83% reporting. 51.83% – 48.17%.

Update 10:20 PM: From GA: Johnson 12,098 – McKinney 8,002/ 35% reporting. They really DID have a low voter turnout in GA, it appears.

Update 10:22 PM: GA again: Johnson 17,739 – McKinney 12,876/ 51% reporting.

Update 10:29 PM: Lamont 120,616 – Lieberman 111,887/ 84% reporting. 51.88% – 48.12%.

Update 10:43 PM: The latest from CT:

U.S. Senate – – Dem Primary
651 of 748 Precincts Reporting – 87.03%

Lamont, Ned Dem 124,940 51.84
Lieberman, Joe (i) Dem 116,060 48.16

Update 10:46 PM: Via Hotline On Call:

What we’re hearing:
LAMONT WAITING LIEBERMAN’S CONCESSION CALL….
LIEBERMAN EXPECTED TO ANNOUNCE INDEPENDENT BID TOMORROW; HIS TEAM TAKES COMFORT IN THE CLOSER MARGINS…… LAMONT HAS HEALTHY 9,000 VOTE LEAD………TURNOUT TOPS 50 PECENT ….
GOPers PONDER A LIEBERMAN INDY BID …

Update 10:50 PM: GA race 68% reporting:

Hank Johnson 25112 58%
Cynthia McKinney (I) 18056 42%

Update 10:52 PM: Time to call this a win for Lamont, I guess. But in the longterm, will it be a win for Lieberman and Republicans – assuming he takes the Independent route?

Update 10:53 PM: More, via Hotline On Call:

Sen. Joe Lieberman’s narrow defeat for renomination has started a vigorous round of second guessing among sympathetic state Democrats. The campaign’s decision late last week to scale back its GOTV effort is seen as a crucial error in the surprisingly close-run contest. Lieberman’s ground game today was not as extensive as challenger Lamont’s. Proof of that came in the returns from the state’s largest city, Bridgeport.

[…]

Lieberman lost Bridgeport by 4%. He had been expected to win convincingly.

Update 10:59 PM: On L/L:

706 of 748 Precincts Reporting – 94.39%

Lamont, Ned Dem 136,353 51.73
Lieberman, Joe (i) Dem 127,249 48.27

Update 11:02 PM: Johnson’s won in GA – 87% reporting:

Hank Johnson 35756 59%
Cynthia McKinney (I) 24767 41%

Wonder if McKinney will take a swing at him?

Update 11:08 PM: Joe is conceding (watching on FOX). WILL run as an Independent.

Update 11:11 PM: JL: “I will always do what I feel is right for my state and country, regardless of the political consequences.” Addressing supporters outside of the state, and encouraging them to visit his website when it’s “unhacked” and give money.

Update 11:14 PM: This means national Dems afraid of looking weak on national security will have to support a cut and run Democrat. Heh.

Update 11:17 PM: More official results:

733 of 748 Precincts Reporting – 97.99%
*Lamont, Ned Dem 143,363 51.81
Lieberman, Joe (i) Dem 133,323 48.19

Precincts Reporting: 153 of 167 (92%)
Hank Johnson (winner) 36853 59%
Cynthia McKinney (I) 25683 41%

Update 11:20 PM: Lamont is giving his victory speech. Rev. Jesse Jackson can be seen in the background. So can Rev. Al Sharpton. If Cindy Sheehan weren’t stalking the President in Crawford, she’d probably be there, too. More: Greg Tinti has video of Jesse Jackson claiming Ned Lamont is like a “breath of fresh air.” Maybe Jesse has a thing for the Freshmaker, too? UGH.

Update 11:28 PM: Malkin has a link roundup of blogger reax and other liveblogging posts.

Update 11:42 PM: John McIntyre at RCP: CT Senate Results Bad News For Dems

Update 11:51 PM: Watch for a lot more of this, and not just in CT. And on that nauseating note, I’m signing off for the night. Thanks to everyone who stayed tuned to the ST blog for updates :)

Update Midnight: One more – Allah has video of Hank Johnson’s victory speech (scroll). Lieberman’s speech is coming up shortly there at Hot Air. Make sure to catch it.

G’nite.

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